Here are my predictions for 2009 relating specifically to data deduplication:
1. Disk-to-disk (D2D) backup with dedupe continues to proliferate, becoming much more mainstream in 2009. The perceived risk of implementing D2D backup with dedupe is all but gone and the value is glaringly clear. Additionally, the bad economy makes the value proposition that much more compelling.
2. End users utilize dedupe as a requisite part of nearline and active storage archives. Moving dormant data off of Tier One storage needs to go up the priority list. The question is what do you move it to? Standards-based NFS and CIFS cost effective storage with dedupe will be embraced by a number of customers. This should be considered and implemented by end user companies of all sizes.
3. D2D backup and archiving will be a big Cloud Computing application. SMB customers with no secondary site can use Cloud Computing services for off-site disaster recovery. Additionally, low cost cloud storage can be used as an offsite archive. But you need to get the data there fast and cheap and dedupe can enable this to happen.
4. Power, cooling and floor space will be tied more closely with green initiatives and will move up the list of priorities. Yes, energy costs have come down, but the market is so volatile we must plan for more spikes. Additionally, with Obama as President of the US - an increase in global consciousness around Green should occur. Dedupe is a no-brainer way to reduce power, cooling and floor space consumption and make the data center greener. You can't beat saving money while also being green. Turns out it can be easy being green ;)